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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.65vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.00vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.79vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-1.10vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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3.0Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.47Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.9George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 31.9% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 21.4% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 17.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.6% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 28.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 21.7% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.