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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.84vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+2.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.17vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43-0.91vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69-2.32vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.09Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.68Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.46Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 27.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 28.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 12.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 22.1% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Green | 29.0% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.