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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+2.02vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+0.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.18vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+0.47vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.61Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.47Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.83George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 24.1% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Bridget Green | 29.6% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.2% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 17.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 29.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.4% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 10.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.