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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+1.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.44Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.69Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 26.2% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 26.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 17.0% |
| Bridget Green | 28.6% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 28.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.