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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.60vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+2.91vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.05vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.91George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.48Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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2.9Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 32.1% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 27.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 26.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 17.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 13.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 24.6% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.