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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+2.02vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+0.62vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.91vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+0.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.62Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.49Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.84George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 24.4% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Bridget Green | 29.6% | 25.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 27.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.5% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 10.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.