← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.14+4.20vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.24+6.30vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.93vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.82+6.61vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.60+2.46vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.08+3.45vs Predicted
-
7Brown University0.41+5.08vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.23vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.43-1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.20-1.70vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.05-0.46vs Predicted
-
12Brown University0.79-1.47vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.18-3.93vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University0.73-3.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.30-6.62vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-3.54vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University0.94-6.60vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.2Brown University2.1415.0%1st Place
-
8.3Brown University1.247.0%1st Place
-
7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.2%1st Place
-
10.61University of Rhode Island0.823.5%1st Place
-
7.46Roger Williams University1.608.5%1st Place
-
9.45Brown University1.085.4%1st Place
-
12.08Brown University0.412.4%1st Place
-
11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.8%1st Place
-
7.89Roger Williams University1.437.7%1st Place
-
8.3University of Rhode Island1.206.2%1st Place
-
10.54University of Rhode Island1.053.8%1st Place
-
10.53Brown University0.794.5%1st Place
-
9.07Roger Williams University1.186.5%1st Place
-
10.84Roger Williams University0.733.1%1st Place
-
8.38University of Rhode Island1.306.0%1st Place
-
12.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.8%1st Place
-
10.4Roger Williams University0.944.2%1st Place
-
10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Jack Roman | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% |
| Jed Lory | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Jack Crager | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 17.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.