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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.46+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.72-1.14vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+0.71vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.25-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.11+0.83vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.03-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.01-1.46vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.46-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.63-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.48-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-0.01-6.21vs Predicted
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16Purdue University-1.79-3.48vs Predicted
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18University of Chicago-2.40-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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3.12University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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5.17University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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5.71Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.67Northwestern University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.55Marquette University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Illinois0.010.0%1st Place
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9.73Northern Michigan University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Michigan-1.630.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Michigan-1.480.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.52Purdue University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Chicago-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 27.9% | 25.4% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 21.4% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 26.5% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Kluger | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Brackman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Loch | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kinney | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Brand Koster | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 17.1% |
| Riley Moran | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 13.6% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kristen Rathbun | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 24.4% | 20.1% |
| Christian Herwig | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.