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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.66vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.19vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+0.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26-0.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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3.01Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.46Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.99George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 32.1% | 22.0% | 18.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 21.5% | 23.5% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 16.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 29.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.1% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 27.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.