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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.68vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.19vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.16vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-1.39vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-0.20vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82+0.67vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-2.20vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.77-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.19Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.61Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.67Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.89William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.5% | 24.3% | 24.7% | 20.6% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 35.6% | 29.1% | 20.3% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 14.4% | 16.8% | 23.1% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.9% | 24.5% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 5.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 54.9% | 19.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 4.4% | 19.4% | 75.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 54.9% | 19.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 12.4% | 58.2% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.