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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.69vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.19vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.42vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.24+0.78vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30-1.84vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.22vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.77-0.99vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.19Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.58Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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4.78Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.78Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.01William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.59Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.7% | 23.4% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 35.7% | 28.6% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 25.2% | 24.4% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 6.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 53.1% | 19.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 13.5% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 31.6% | 12.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 53.1% | 19.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 12.0% | 56.2% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 5.0% | 22.3% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.