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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.67vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.18vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.16vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-1.40vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-0.18vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.18vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.77-1.02vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.18Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.6Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.82Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.82Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.98William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.59Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.6% | 24.5% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 35.7% | 29.1% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 14.3% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 30.7% | 13.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 24.1% | 24.2% | 24.8% | 21.8% | 4.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 54.3% | 19.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 54.3% | 19.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 12.5% | 55.9% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 5.5% | 22.3% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.