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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.21vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.54vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.63-1.25vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-0.21vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.21vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.77-1.01vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.54Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.12George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.75Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.59Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 36.4% | 27.4% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 24.4% | 26.7% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 14.0% | 18.7% | 24.0% | 28.6% | 13.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 22.1% | 20.9% | 24.8% | 24.5% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 53.3% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 53.3% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 12.7% | 56.0% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 5.4% | 22.2% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.