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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.23vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.72vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.41vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.86vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.77+0.99vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82+0.66vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-2.33vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.72Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.59Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.14George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.66Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.67Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.67Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 35.0% | 28.5% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 21.4% | 23.7% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 7.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.8% | 25.4% | 25.7% | 19.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 16.0% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 29.0% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 11.9% | 59.3% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3.6% | 21.4% | 73.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 53.9% | 16.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 53.9% | 16.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.