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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.70vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.19vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.42vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.86vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-0.20vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.20vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.77-1.02vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.19Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.58Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.14George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.98William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.59Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.3% | 24.3% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 34.7% | 29.9% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 24.2% | 24.3% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 5.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.7% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 31.7% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 53.9% | 18.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 53.9% | 18.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 12.6% | 55.9% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 5.6% | 22.4% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.