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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.53vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.72vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11-0.81vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.24+0.79vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30-1.83vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.21vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.77-0.98vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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2.72Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.19Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.17George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.02William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.58Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 26.7% | 25.7% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 5.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 21.2% | 24.2% | 25.0% | 21.3% | 7.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 35.8% | 27.6% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.5% | 53.9% | 19.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 13.3% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 30.7% | 13.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.5% | 53.9% | 19.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 11.6% | 56.4% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 22.2% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.