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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.73vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11-0.79vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.86vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-0.20vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.20vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.77-1.01vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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2.73Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.21Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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3.14George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.59Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 26.3% | 25.8% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 21.1% | 23.0% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 33.8% | 29.5% | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.7% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 32.4% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 52.9% | 18.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 52.9% | 18.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 12.6% | 55.9% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 5.6% | 22.2% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.