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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.79+9.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+5.34vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.43+4.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.24+4.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.14-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.30+1.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.08+1.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+2.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.41+1.18vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.94-1.39vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.73-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.82-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.20-6.53vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.05-5.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-6.89vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.18-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64Brown University0.793.5%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University1.607.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University1.437.4%1st Place
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8.42Brown University1.246.7%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.0%1st Place
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5.14Brown University2.1415.4%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island1.306.8%1st Place
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9.4Brown University1.085.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.084.0%1st Place
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12.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.2%1st Place
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12.18Brown University0.412.4%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University0.943.2%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University0.734.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island0.823.8%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island1.207.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island1.054.6%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.185.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Ivancich | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Jack Roman | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jed Lory | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 19.9% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 16.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Peter Cotoia | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Max Sigel | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% |
| Jack Crager | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.