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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+2.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23-0.87vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.07-0.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.11-1.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.17-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.97-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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2.13Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.73Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 13.1% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 42.3% | 26.1% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Keller | 12.3% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 5.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 4.4% |
| Colin Patterson | 12.4% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| James Fales | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 47.9% |
| Douglas Young | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 27.0% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.