← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.77+1.53vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.73vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.30+0.14vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.11-1.76vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.24-0.21vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.24-1.21vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.82-0.33vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-1.77-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.53Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
-
2.73Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
-
3.14George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
-
2.24Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
-
4.79Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.79Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
6.67Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
-
5.9William and Mary-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 27.0% | 24.8% | 23.7% | 18.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 20.8% | 24.1% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 14.2% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 29.9% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 34.4% | 27.3% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 54.8% | 19.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 54.8% | 19.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 4.3% | 19.3% | 75.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 13.1% | 58.1% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.