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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.69vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.29vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63-0.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.66vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+0.22vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.78vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.21-2.29vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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2.29Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.92Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.34George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.71William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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6.83Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 24.3% | 25.8% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 33.9% | 28.2% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 19.6% | 21.2% | 25.7% | 18.8% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.4% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 26.7% | 18.3% | 5.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 23.6% | 48.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 23.6% | 48.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 31.3% | 32.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 89.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.