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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.31vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.72vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.32vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.24+1.24vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+0.24vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.21-1.28vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.82-0.13vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.63-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.72Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.32George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.72William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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6.87Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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2.82Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 34.3% | 26.4% | 20.3% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.0% | 25.4% | 23.9% | 19.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 14.8% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 24.4% | 17.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 50.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 50.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 35.1% | 31.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 92.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 23.3% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.