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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.90vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.30+1.32vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11-0.67vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-1.25vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+0.24vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.76vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.82-0.14vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.32George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.33Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.75Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.86Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.6William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.2% | 20.7% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 25.1% | 16.8% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 31.5% | 29.7% | 20.8% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 24.4% | 21.7% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 21.9% | 51.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 21.9% | 51.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 6.3% | 91.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 32.5% | 29.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.