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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.30+2.27vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.33vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.25vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.63-1.07vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+0.23vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.77vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.82-0.14vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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2.33Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.75Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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2.93Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.86Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.62William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fisher | 16.5% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 33.0% | 27.7% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.3% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 21.1% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 21.3% | 51.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 21.3% | 51.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 6.5% | 91.2% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 33.6% | 29.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.