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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.30+2.27vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.72vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63-0.09vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-1.68vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+0.22vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.78vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.21-2.27vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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2.72Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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2.91Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.32Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.73William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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6.83Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fisher | 16.8% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 24.5% | 17.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.1% | 24.5% | 23.7% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 20.2% | 20.8% | 24.2% | 20.9% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 32.9% | 28.1% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 23.7% | 48.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 23.7% | 48.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 32.1% | 32.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 89.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.