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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.29vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.31vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.24+1.24vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-2.18vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.21-1.34vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-1.76vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.85Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.31George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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2.82Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.66William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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5.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.82Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 36.0% | 26.0% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 21.2% | 22.9% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 13.8% | 18.1% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 17.1% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 22.2% | 49.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 21.7% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 5.3% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 31.5% | 31.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 22.2% | 49.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 89.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.