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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.33vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.89vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.28vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.68vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+0.21vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.79vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.21-2.30vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.82-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Washington College2.110.3%1st Place
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2.89Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.72Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.32George Washington University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.21Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.21Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.7William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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6.83Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 34.5% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 20.2% | 21.8% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.0% | 25.3% | 25.4% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.6% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 25.3% | 19.2% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 22.7% | 48.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 22.7% | 48.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 30.7% | 32.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 89.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.