← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College0.52+2.78vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College0.42+1.93vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.65-0.79vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College0.38+0.08vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.97-1.86vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-1.52+0.37vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College-0.01-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.93Bowdoin College0.420.1%1st Place
-
2.21Bowdoin College1.650.4%1st Place
-
4.08Bowdoin College0.380.1%1st Place
-
3.14Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
-
6.37Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.49Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 12.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 5.7% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 39.8% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabelle Tsuchitori | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 5.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 18.2% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 72.5% |
| Kique Ruiz | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 28.7% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.