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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+11.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.79+8.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+8.17vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.18+4.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.30+3.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.24+2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.19vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.14-2.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.08+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05+0.42vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.43-3.18vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.60-4.62vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.73-1.97vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.94-3.53vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.20-6.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-5.42vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.41-4.96vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.82-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.1%1st Place
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10.57Brown University0.794.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.5%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University1.185.7%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.306.7%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.246.7%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.4%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.1414.5%1st Place
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9.3Brown University1.085.4%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University1.437.8%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University1.608.7%1st Place
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11.03Roger Williams University0.734.1%1st Place
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10.47Roger Williams University0.943.8%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.206.5%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.883.5%1st Place
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12.04Brown University0.413.2%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island0.823.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 19.6% |
| Grace Ivancich | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Jack Crager | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Jack Roman | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Cotoia | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Max Sigel | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.