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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Salve Regina University2.07+1.70vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+0.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07-0.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.17-1.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.23-3.83vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.97-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Salve Regina University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.66Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.76Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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2.17Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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5.8University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Keller | 13.0% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 12.2% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Emmett Weeks | 12.6% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Colin Patterson | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% |
| Rob Struckett | 40.5% | 27.0% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| James Fales | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 22.8% | 47.7% |
| Douglas Young | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 28.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.