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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+2.05vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+0.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.38+1.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.42-0.02vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52-1.12vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.01-1.40vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.52-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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2.2Bowdoin College1.650.4%1st Place
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4.04Bowdoin College0.380.1%1st Place
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3.98Bowdoin College0.420.1%1st Place
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3.88Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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4.6Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.25Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 21.7% | 22.3% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 38.6% | 28.3% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabelle Tsuchitori | 10.0% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 5.8% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 5.8% |
| Alex Kitay | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 5.4% |
| Kique Ruiz | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 26.1% | 12.3% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.