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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+1.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.42+1.90vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+0.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.52-0.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.38-0.93vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.01-1.41vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.52-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Bowdoin College1.650.4%1st Place
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3.9Bowdoin College0.420.1%1st Place
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3.12Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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3.83Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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4.07Bowdoin College0.380.1%1st Place
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4.59Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.27Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 40.2% | 25.6% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 4.9% |
| Ted Lutton | 17.9% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Alex Kitay | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 4.8% |
| Isabelle Tsuchitori | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 7.4% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 28.6% | 11.5% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.