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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+2.09vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.42+1.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65-0.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.52-0.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.38-0.91vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.01-1.37vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.52-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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3.9Bowdoin College0.420.1%1st Place
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2.19Bowdoin College1.650.4%1st Place
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3.85Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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4.09Bowdoin College0.380.1%1st Place
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4.63Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.26Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 20.3% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 11.2% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 39.3% | 27.9% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Kitay | 11.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 5.0% |
| Isabelle Tsuchitori | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 7.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 27.4% | 12.0% |
| Ethan Baker | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.