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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+0.92vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.23+2.04vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.35+0.85vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.28-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.53-2.76vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.79-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-0.23vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.58-0.39vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-2.42-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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2.92University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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5.04Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.85Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.8Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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6.73Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.61Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
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9.36Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 37.9% | 28.8% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 23.0% | 24.4% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 13.1% | 4.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 11.1% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 22.1% | 25.2% | 19.5% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 23.6% | 42.9% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 28.1% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.