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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.35+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.95-0.82vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.23+1.08vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.28-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37-3.06vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.10+0.27vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.79-1.23vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.58+0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.93-1.27vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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2.18University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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5.08Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.8Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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2.94University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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7.27University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.77Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.69Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.39Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Spencer | 39.3% | 27.5% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 23.6% | 22.7% | 22.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Siri Schantz | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 45.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 22.7% | 28.9% | 15.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.