Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Humberto Porrata 21.3% 23.0% 21.6% 16.4% 9.0% 6.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Spencer 41.7% 25.9% 16.1% 9.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nadia Reynolds 7.0% 8.1% 11.6% 15.3% 15.3% 16.5% 14.2% 8.0% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Luke Koerschner 6.0% 8.5% 11.3% 13.5% 16.3% 16.7% 14.4% 9.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Brody Schwartz 9.7% 13.1% 14.2% 15.8% 16.5% 13.8% 10.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Siri Schantz 2.2% 3.3% 5.5% 4.6% 8.6% 12.2% 18.9% 19.5% 14.4% 8.4% 2.4%
Molly Sheridan 2.3% 3.9% 3.3% 4.3% 6.1% 10.4% 14.7% 20.6% 19.4% 11.3% 3.7%
Lawrence Busse 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 4.2% 10.6% 17.8% 26.6% 33.5%
Carter Hrabrick 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 7.3% 11.4% 23.1% 28.7% 16.9%
Alexa Quinn 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 9.3% 14.2% 22.3% 43.3%
Nikolas Chambers 7.8% 11.9% 13.7% 15.3% 16.8% 14.5% 10.2% 6.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.