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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+1.97vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.23+2.92vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.35+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.95-1.77vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.28-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.53-1.60vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.79-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.93+0.71vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.58+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.10-2.68vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-2.42-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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4.92Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.81Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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4.8Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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6.76Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.67Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.41Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 20.5% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Spencer | 38.9% | 26.6% | 17.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 25.4% | 17.8% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 44.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 30.4% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.