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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.95+0.15vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.23+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.53+0.51vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.28-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+1.48vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.79-0.30vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.35-3.41vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-0.22vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.60vs Predicted
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11Miami University-2.58-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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5.06Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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4.78Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.7Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.59Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.4Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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9.58Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 20.2% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Spencer | 41.3% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 19.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 26.4% | 34.9% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 26.2% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.