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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.53+1.50vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.28+0.97vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.79+1.83vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.23-1.05vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42+2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-0.64vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.35-4.28vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.58-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-1.93-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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2.91University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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4.97Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.83Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.95Michigan State University0.230.1%1st Place
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9.32Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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9.63Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 39.7% | 27.4% | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 23.1% | 24.2% | 20.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 33.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 4.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 7.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 25.4% | 42.0% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 24.8% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.