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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.95+0.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.28+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.75-0.15vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.35-0.56vs Predicted
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6-1.11+1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.93+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-0.96vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-0.79-2.33vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.75vs Predicted
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12Miami University-2.58-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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4.72Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Michigan0.750.1%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.23-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.67Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.25Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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9.45Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 21.0% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Spencer | 42.9% | 26.9% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 11.9% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Siri Schantz | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 26.0% | 33.2% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 25.3% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.