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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Humberto Porrata 21.0% 27.3% 21.5% 15.5% 9.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Spencer 42.9% 26.9% 16.6% 8.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nadia Reynolds 7.3% 8.6% 13.2% 15.8% 18.9% 14.9% 11.9% 7.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Billy Vogel 11.9% 13.6% 18.6% 19.9% 17.2% 11.0% 5.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nikolas Chambers 8.2% 12.4% 13.2% 17.3% 17.4% 14.6% 9.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ella Beck 2.0% 2.3% 3.7% 5.4% 7.3% 11.8% 16.5% 18.7% 16.8% 10.6% 4.9%
Carter Hrabrick 0.7% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 9.4% 16.0% 20.6% 21.2% 16.9%
Molly Sheridan 2.6% 1.9% 3.8% 6.4% 8.0% 13.9% 16.0% 17.2% 17.8% 8.9% 3.5%
Siri Schantz 2.4% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 9.6% 15.6% 18.3% 17.1% 12.5% 6.8% 2.9%
Lawrence Busse 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 4.1% 6.8% 8.3% 15.0% 26.0% 33.2%
Alexa Quinn 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.2% 8.2% 13.5% 25.3% 38.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.