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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.23+1.15vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+0.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.17-0.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.11-1.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.07-2.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.97-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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3.7Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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3.69Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.81Salve Regina University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Struckett | 43.1% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Emmett Weeks | 12.0% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 4.9% |
| Colin Patterson | 12.3% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 4.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 14.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Robert Keller | 10.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
| Douglas Young | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 27.0% | 33.1% |
| James Fales | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 22.0% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.