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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+7.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.43+5.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+6.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.24+4.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20+3.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.41+6.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+4.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+2.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-1.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+2.41vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.14-5.88vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.18-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-2.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.79-3.19vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.94-4.68vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.73-5.06vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.82-6.59vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.30-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.2%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University1.436.7%1st Place
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9.29Brown University1.085.0%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.246.2%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island1.206.1%1st Place
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12.16Brown University0.412.7%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.5%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.9%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University1.608.5%1st Place
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12.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.5%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.1415.2%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.185.9%1st Place
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10.28University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
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10.81Brown University0.793.8%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University0.944.2%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University0.733.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island0.824.3%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.306.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Jed Lory | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Max Sigel | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Jack Roman | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 17.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Crager | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.