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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+1.85vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.35+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.95-0.86vs Predicted
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4-1.11+3.30vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.75-1.21vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.28-1.40vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-0.39vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.79-4.52vs Predicted
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12Miami University-2.58-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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4.49Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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2.14University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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7.3-1.110.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Michigan0.750.1%1st Place
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4.6Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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9.18Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.48Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.47Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 22.7% | 22.5% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 8.8% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Spencer | 38.8% | 31.0% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Billy Vogel | 12.7% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 25.0% | 33.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 18.8% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 24.5% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.