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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Humberto Porrata 22.7% 22.5% 23.6% 16.7% 9.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikolas Chambers 8.8% 9.3% 14.6% 16.1% 19.3% 14.4% 11.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Spencer 38.8% 31.0% 16.1% 7.6% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Beck 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 4.9% 7.2% 11.5% 16.6% 19.8% 17.8% 11.3% 3.8%
Billy Vogel 12.7% 16.8% 17.3% 17.8% 15.2% 11.1% 6.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nadia Reynolds 7.8% 10.2% 13.0% 16.2% 18.8% 16.4% 9.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Lawrence Busse 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 6.3% 10.3% 14.8% 25.0% 33.1%
Molly Sheridan 2.4% 1.7% 3.3% 6.5% 7.7% 14.5% 15.1% 19.6% 16.2% 9.8% 3.2%
Carter Hrabrick 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.0% 5.8% 9.0% 12.2% 21.9% 22.8% 18.8%
Siri Schantz 3.0% 3.7% 4.8% 8.4% 10.1% 15.0% 18.6% 17.7% 11.3% 5.7% 1.7%
Alexa Quinn 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.8% 5.6% 8.3% 13.9% 24.5% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.