Race 9A

cary-price

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Humberto Porrata 20.4% 26.7% 22.3% 16.0% 8.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Spencer 42.7% 26.4% 16.9% 9.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nadia Reynolds 7.7% 8.9% 13.0% 16.0% 16.2% 17.2% 13.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Billy Vogel 11.4% 14.7% 18.2% 18.2% 18.4% 9.7% 6.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ella Beck 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 5.1% 8.3% 11.6% 16.7% 17.4% 17.0% 11.3% 3.3%
Nikolas Chambers 7.9% 11.4% 13.7% 17.7% 17.8% 13.7% 10.5% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Siri Schantz 3.1% 4.9% 4.6% 7.1% 10.7% 16.3% 17.3% 17.2% 11.5% 5.6% 1.7%
Molly Sheridan 2.5% 1.5% 3.9% 5.7% 8.9% 13.2% 16.4% 18.5% 14.9% 11.4% 3.1%
Carter Hrabrick 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 2.8% 3.3% 5.1% 8.0% 15.8% 19.4% 22.6% 19.2%
Lawrence Busse 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 4.4% 4.6% 10.5% 16.6% 23.5% 34.4%
Alexa Quinn 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 2.0% 4.0% 5.2% 8.0% 15.8% 24.4% 38.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.