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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.75+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.95-0.85vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.35+0.61vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.28-0.42vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.79-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-0.48vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.64vs Predicted
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11-1.11-3.91vs Predicted
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12Miami University-2.58-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Michigan0.750.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.950.4%1st Place
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4.61Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.58Ohio State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.62Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.36Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.09-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.44Miami University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 23.1% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 12.7% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Spencer | 39.4% | 29.2% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 7.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 22.7% | 17.2% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 25.3% | 36.4% |
| Ella Beck | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 2.7% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 25.4% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.