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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+1.00vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.07+1.90vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.22+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.18-2.62vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-2.42+2.64vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.50-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.43-4.27vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.20-3.69vs Predicted
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11Miami University-2.59-2.23vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-3.09-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
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3.9Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.55Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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2.38University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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8.64University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.72Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.31Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.77Miami University-2.590.0%1st Place
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9.52Ohio University-3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 41.4% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 9.3% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 31.1% | 29.5% | 20.4% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 21.6% |
| Jon Seaborg | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.2% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Back | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 26.5% | 23.8% |
| Mo Snyder | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.