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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.07+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51-0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.18-0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.22+2.47vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20+1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.43-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.42+1.47vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.27-1.66vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.59-1.08vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.50-4.22vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-3.09-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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1.99University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
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2.41University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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6.47University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.26Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.34Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.92Miami University-2.590.0%1st Place
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6.78Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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9.52Ohio University-3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Beretta | 9.1% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 44.3% | 28.3% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 27.4% | 33.4% | 20.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.4% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Stone | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 18.8% |
| Emily Williams | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Back | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 24.1% | 28.7% |
| Jon Seaborg | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Mo Snyder | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 22.2% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.