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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.38vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.07+1.07vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27+2.70vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.43-0.13vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.20+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.22-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.42+0.69vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.50-1.95vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-2.22-1.65vs Predicted
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11Miami University-2.72-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
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2.38University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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4.07Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.7Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.87University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.42Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.05Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.35Ohio University-2.220.0%1st Place
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9.18Miami University-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 41.0% | 31.0% | 18.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 31.2% | 30.0% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Adrian Stone | 6.0% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack O'Connor | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 21.8% | 26.4% |
| Jon Seaborg | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Crown Steiner | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 20.7% |
| Patrick Carroll | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.