← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.51+1.01vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.38vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.43+2.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame-1.22+2.61vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University0.07-1.05vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.20+0.45vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-1.27-0.58vs Predicted
-
8Northern Michigan University-1.50-1.09vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-2.72+0.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Illinois-2.42-1.28vs Predicted
-
11Ohio University-2.22-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.01University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
-
2.38University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
-
5.02University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
-
6.61University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
-
3.95Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
-
6.45Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
6.42Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.91Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.3Miami University-2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
-
8.24Ohio University-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 40.0% | 32.0% | 18.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 31.6% | 28.6% | 21.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 6.2% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Emily Williams | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Jon Seaborg | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Patrick Carroll | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 42.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 23.1% | 27.4% |
| Crown Steiner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.