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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.62+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.43+0.57vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27+1.03vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.50+0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.42+1.22vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.20-2.12vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-2.22-0.96vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.59-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-2.87-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
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2.21University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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4.94Northwestern University-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.03Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.64Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.88Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.04Ohio University-2.220.0%1st Place
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8.59Miami University-2.590.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 43.1% | 35.3% | 14.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 32.8% | 34.1% | 18.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.7% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Stone | 5.2% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 3.8% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Jon Seaborg | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Katie Benstead | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Crown Steiner | 1.2% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| Matthew Back | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 24.0% |
| Kate Norman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 21.3% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.