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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.43+1.62vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.20+2.09vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.62-0.19vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.42+1.19vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.50-1.56vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.59-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-2.87-1.96vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-2.22-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
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2.2University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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4.62University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.09Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.81Northwestern University-0.620.1%1st Place
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6.16Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.44Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.72Miami University-2.590.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Notre Dame-2.870.0%1st Place
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7.85Ohio University-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 43.2% | 33.7% | 16.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 33.6% | 33.3% | 18.8% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 6.6% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Williams | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| Jon Seaborg | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Back | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 27.2% |
| Kate Norman | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 35.8% |
| Crown Steiner | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.