Race 7B

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gavin Dempsey 29.3% 31.3% 22.5% 10.5% 4.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachariah Schemel 43.1% 28.8% 17.8% 7.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Beretta 9.0% 13.2% 20.2% 19.5% 15.5% 12.2% 6.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Adrian Stone 5.1% 8.4% 13.2% 17.5% 17.4% 17.8% 10.4% 5.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Jack O'Connor 3.6% 4.0% 5.8% 10.4% 12.5% 13.7% 13.3% 17.1% 11.5% 6.7% 1.4%
Jon Seaborg 2.2% 2.6% 5.1% 7.7% 10.4% 11.0% 15.8% 16.6% 14.8% 9.9% 3.9%
Emily Williams 3.0% 5.1% 5.3% 10.8% 13.3% 13.4% 16.2% 13.8% 11.5% 5.8% 1.8%
Katie Benstead 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 4.0% 7.1% 10.5% 12.3% 19.9% 20.9% 19.1%
Ryan Dodge 2.7% 4.3% 6.2% 9.8% 12.6% 14.5% 16.2% 13.5% 11.3% 6.4% 2.5%
Patrick Carroll 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 10.6% 14.8% 24.9% 29.1%
Mo Snyder 0.5% 0.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 3.9% 7.4% 12.7% 23.7% 42.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.