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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+6.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+2.53vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+4.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+5.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.68vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60+4.49vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.34vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.57+2.86vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59+1.19vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.40-3.74vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.98-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09+0.22vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.73-8.41vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.01-1.39vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.10-6.81vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.32-6.97vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.6%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University3.1512.8%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston2.497.1%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College2.033.6%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.0%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida1.602.7%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College2.385.9%1st Place
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11.86North Carolina State University1.572.7%1st Place
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11.19Old Dominion University1.593.0%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University2.408.0%1st Place
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9.64Fordham University1.984.3%1st Place
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13.22University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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13.61University of Texas1.011.9%1st Place
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9.19Jacksonville University2.105.3%1st Place
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10.03University of Miami2.324.7%1st Place
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9.45Boston College2.205.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| William Michels | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 21.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 27.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.