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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+7.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+6.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+4.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+3.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.89vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20+3.19vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61+0.33vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.30vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-3.20vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-1.41vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-4.86vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-1.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-4.50vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.04-4.75vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.49-7.31vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Harvard University3.058.2%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
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8.68Brown University2.856.9%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College2.907.4%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.0%1st Place
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10.19Boston College2.205.0%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University2.617.2%1st Place
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11.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University2.7310.1%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island2.783.4%1st Place
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8.14Georgetown University2.757.1%1st Place
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12.95Bowdoin College2.032.8%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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11.25Tulane University2.043.4%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston2.494.5%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Will Murray | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% |
| Jack Egan | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 23.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.