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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.11+2.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23-0.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07-0.24vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.07-1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.17-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.97-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.66-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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2.13Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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3.76Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.79Salve Regina University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hollerbach | 14.0% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 5.4% |
| Rob Struckett | 41.7% | 26.6% | 17.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emmett Weeks | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Robert Keller | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 12.7% | 5.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 12.4% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| Douglas Young | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 27.1% | 33.1% |
| James Fales | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 22.7% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.